The Indian equity market closed Friday with modest gains, the Nifty 50 settling 0.11% higher at 25,694.35 and the Sensex inching up 0.23%. Amidst this cautious sentiment, market expert Ankush Bajaj, a SEBI-registered analyst, has pinpointed three stocks for investors to consider for January 19: Tech Mahindra Ltd, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL), and State Bank of India (SBI).
Tech Mahindra Breakout
Tech Mahindra has confirmed a significant bullish rectangle breakout around the ₹1,650 level. This consolidation pattern suggests a shift towards trend continuation, supported by strong momentum and increasing investor participation. Technical indicators are favorable: the daily RSI at 65 shows healthy bullish strength without being overbought, the MACD has crossed bullishly at +16, and the ADX at 23 signals a strengthening trend. Bajaj suggests a buy at ₹1,670.50, targeting ₹1,740, with a stop-loss at ₹1,640. Key risks include global IT spending, U.S. tech sentiment, and currency volatility.
BPCL Reversal Setup
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd presents a bullish reversal setup with a breakout from a falling wedge pattern on its hourly chart. The hourly RSI at 60 and MACD at +1 indicate building bullish momentum. The ADX at 23 suggests a new trend is forming, potentially driving follow-through buying. With price action above the upper channel, Bajaj recommends buying at ₹363.20, setting a target of ₹372 and a stop-loss at ₹359. Investors should monitor crude oil prices, refining margins, and government policies as potential risks.
SBI's Banking Strength
State Bank of India demonstrates exceptional strength in the banking sector, driven by robust momentum and trend confirmation. Its daily RSI at 74 signals powerful bullish momentum, while the MACD at +17 confirms sustained buying interest. The ADX at 40 indicates a strong, established trend. As long as SBI stays above the ₹1,020–₹1,025 zone, its bullish structure is intact, with potential for further upside. Bajaj advises a buy at ₹1,042.30, targeting ₹1,058, with a stop-loss at ₹1,035. Sensitivity to interest rates and credit growth data are key risks.
Market Dynamics
Friday’s gains were primarily fueled by a rebound in information technology stocks, especially after positive Q3 earnings from a large IT player. Infosys surged 5.6%, leading the pack, with Tech Mahindra rallying 5.3%. The Nifty IT index climbed over 3%. Conversely, select financials and defensives like Jio Financial Services and Cipla faced selling pressure. The Nifty technical picture remains cautious, with the index trading below key short-term averages. Derivatives data also suggests a bearish bias, with significant call writing indicating upside resistance around the 26,000 mark.