JSW Energy Pushes 30GW Target Amid Execution Concerns

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AuthorIshaan Verma|Published at:
JSW Energy Pushes 30GW Target Amid Execution Concerns
Overview

JSW Energy is aggressively expanding, aiming for 30GW generation and 40GWh storage by 2030. While recent capacity additions and strong FY26 EBITDA provide a boost, substantial capital expenditure raises questions about execution timelines and leverage. Competition is also intensifying in India's power sector.

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Analyst Support Remains Strong

ICICI Securities maintains a positive view on JSW Energy, citing its solid strategic plan and progress in execution. The firm notes JSWE has diversified its portfolio across power generation and energy storage.

Ambitious Growth Targets

JSWE aims to reach 30GW generation capacity and 40GWh energy storage by 2030. This goal is backed by significant operational growth, increasing capacity 1.6 times in the last 15 months. Although organic renewable capacity growth has been slower than expected, the company plans to add about 3-3.5GW annually, which should boost its FY26 EBITDA.

Diversified Energy Pipeline

Beyond renewables, JSW Energy has nearly 5GW of thermal power capacity under development. This thermal capacity is expected to start coming online gradually from the second half of FY28. These projects are key to JSWE's long-term strategy for meeting varied energy needs.

Mitigating Execution Risks

Over the last year, JSW Energy has taken steps to lower execution and operational risks. These include securing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) for new coal capacity and strengthening supply chains for its thermal, wind, and battery storage operations. These actions aim to ensure stable operations and predictable finances long-term.

Profitability Outlook

Based on its current projects and expansion plans, ICICI Securities expects JSW Energy's operating profit to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of over 22% from FY26 to FY32. The firm's Sum-of-the-Parts (SoTP) target price of INR 700 remains unchanged, showing continued confidence in JSWE's execution and market position.

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