Economy
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2nd November 2025, 5:24 AM
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The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee is projected to hold its key interest rate at 4% this Thursday. This move would deviate from the pattern of easing policy at every other meeting since August 2024. The primary reasons cited are UK inflation still running close to double its 2% target and the upcoming autumn budget on November 26, which adds uncertainty. Traders, however, have increased their expectations for a rate cut in December to nearly 60% following recent softer economic data. Governor Andrew Bailey has cautioned that the exact timing of future rate adjustments remains uncertain, especially with the budget looming.
Impact: This decision is crucial for the UK economy. Holding rates may help control inflation but could dampen economic growth. Investors will be closely watching for signals from the Bank of England about future policy direction, particularly concerning the pace of inflation and the government's fiscal plans. Globally, this reflects a cautious approach by central banks, impacting investor sentiment and liquidity. Rating: 7/10.
Difficult Terms: Monetary Policy Committee: A committee within the Bank of England that makes decisions on interest rates and other monetary policy tools. Interest Rate: The percentage charged by a lender for borrowing money, set by central banks to manage inflation and economic growth. UK Inflation: The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising in the United Kingdom, eroding purchasing power. Autumn Budget: The UK government's financial statement and plan for spending and taxation, typically presented in autumn. Policy Easing: Actions taken by a central bank to lower interest rates or increase the money supply to stimulate economic activity. Traders: Individuals or firms that buy and sell financial instruments in the hope of profiting from price changes.