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India's Merchandise Exports Drop 11.8% in October, Imports Surge Pushing Trade Deficit Higher

Economy

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Published on 17th November 2025, 10:17 AM

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Author

Aditi Singh | Whalesbook News Team

Overview

India's merchandise exports fell 11.8% to $34.38 billion in October, while inbound shipments rose 16.63% to $76.06 billion. This led to a widening trade deficit of $41.68 billion. A key factor was the near tripling of gold imports to $14.72 billion. Exports to the United States also showed a decline.

India's Merchandise Exports Drop 11.8% in October, Imports Surge Pushing Trade Deficit Higher

India's merchandise exports saw a significant contraction in October, decreasing by 11.8% to $34.38 billion. This decline occurred even as the country's inbound shipments, or imports, experienced robust growth, climbing 16.63% to $76.06 billion. The substantial increase in imports, particularly in precious metals, drove the trade deficit to a high of $41.68 billion.

A notable contributor to the import surge was gold, with imports nearly tripling from $4.92 billion in the previous year to $14.72 billion in October. Silver shipments also saw an uptick. Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal highlighted that exports to the United States, India's largest trading partner, softened during the month, falling to $6.3 billion from $6.9 billion year-on-year.

For the fiscal year period from April to October, India's total exports grew marginally by 0.63% to $254.25 billion, while imports increased by 6.37% to $451.08 billion, indicating a persistent trade imbalance.

Impact

This news has a moderate to high impact on the Indian stock market. A widening trade deficit can put pressure on the Indian Rupee, potentially leading to currency depreciation. For companies, higher imports could mean increased costs for raw materials or finished goods, affecting profitability. Conversely, a slowdown in exports might signal weaker global demand affecting export-oriented businesses. The surge in gold imports could indicate strong domestic demand or investment sentiment in gold, impacting related sectors.

Rating: 7/10

Definitions

  • Merchandise Exports: Goods manufactured in one country and sold to buyers in another country.
  • Inbound Shipments: Goods that are imported into a country from foreign countries.
  • Trade Deficit: The amount by which the cost of a country's imports exceeds the value of its exports.
  • Precious Metal Inflows: The entry of valuable metals like gold and silver into the country, typically through imports.

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