Economy
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Updated on 14th November 2025, 1:20 PM
Author
Aditi Singh | Whalesbook News Team
India's stock market is expected to remain stable following the NDA's victory in Bihar elections. Investors are now shifting their attention to a packed week of economic data, including October jobs figures, infrastructure output, and November Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings for manufacturing and services. Two significant IPOs, Capillary Technologies and Excelsoft Technologies, are also set to launch, drawing considerable investor interest. Global cues from US crude oil stocks and Federal Reserve minutes will also be monitored.
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The recent Bihar election results have seen the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secure a comfortable majority, a development experts suggest will act as a stabilizing force for the Indian stock market rather than a strong catalyst for major movements. The political uncertainty in a key state has been largely resolved, providing a calmer environment for investors.
This week, the market focus will pivot to crucial domestic economic indicators. Investors will closely watch India's October jobs data, which is important for understanding employment trends and potential rural-urban economic disparities. Additionally, the October infrastructure output figures are due, expected to follow the robust growth seen in September. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for both manufacturing and services sectors in November will also be released, offering timely insights into the current pace of economic activity. A PMI score above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a score below 50 suggests contraction.
Two notable Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) are scheduled to open this week. Capillary Technologies, a Software as a Service (SaaS) company specializing in customer loyalty and engagement solutions, has adjusted its IPO size to Rs 345 crore and will be open for subscription from November 14 to November 18. Following this, Excelsoft Technologies, a Karnataka-based firm providing learning and assessment solutions, will launch its Rs 500-crore IPO on November 19, with a price band set between ₹114 and ₹120 per share.
Globally, investors will monitor US EIA crude oil stock changes and the minutes from the US Federal Reserve's October policy meeting, which could provide further direction on interest rate policies. Initial jobless claims data from the US will also be observed for insights into the health of the American economy.
Impact: This combination of political stability, key economic data releases, and significant IPO activity is moderately impactful for the Indian stock market. While the Bihar verdict offers calm, the economic indicators and IPO performance will be key drivers of investor sentiment and market direction in the near term. Global economic signals can also influence trading sentiment. Impact Rating: 7/10
Difficult Terms: * NDA: National Democratic Alliance, a major political coalition in India. * Exit Polls: Surveys predicting election results based on voter interviews after they cast their ballots. * Catalyst: An event that triggers a significant change or action. * High Frequency Policy Indicators: Economic data released frequently (daily/weekly) providing real-time economic insights. * PMI: Purchasing Managers' Index. An economic indicator derived from surveys of purchasing managers in sectors like manufacturing and services. A score above 50 signifies expansion, below 50 signifies contraction. * IPO: Initial Public Offering. The process by which a private company offers its shares to the public for the first time. * SaaS: Software as a Service. A model where software is licensed on subscription and hosted centrally. * Primary Issue: New shares issued by a company in an IPO to raise capital. * Secondary Sales: Existing shares sold by current shareholders during an IPO. * Dalal Street: A common term referring to the Indian financial market, particularly the stock market, named after the street in Mumbai where the Bombay Stock Exchange is located. * EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change: A report from the US Energy Information Administration detailing changes in crude oil inventories in the US. * Federal Funds Rate: The target interest rate set by the US Federal Reserve for overnight lending between banks. * Basis Points (bps): A unit of measure equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, commonly used for interest rates. * Fed Minutes: The official record of discussions and decisions from a US Federal Reserve policy meeting. * US Initial Jobless Claims: A weekly report indicating the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time. * GST Reforms: Reforms related to India's Goods and Services Tax, a significant indirect tax.