Economy
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Updated on 14th November 2025, 9:00 AM
Author
Satyam Jha | Whalesbook News Team
The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is poised for a significant victory in the Bihar Assembly elections, heading towards 200 seats. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Janata Dal (United) are leading in a substantial number of constituencies. Despite this strong political outcome, Indian stock markets are trading lower, with the Sensex and Nifty both showing declines. This divergence between election results and market performance is a key point for investors to watch.
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The Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA coalition is on track for a dominant win in the Bihar Assembly elections, with current trends from the Election Commission of India indicating a lead in approximately 193 out of the total seats, comfortably surpassing the majority threshold of 122.
The leading parties within the NDA include the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is ahead in 91 seats, and its key ally, the Janata Dal (United), leading in 82 seats. Other allies like Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) and Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) are also showing leads.
On the opposition side, the INDIA bloc, spearheaded by the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Indian National Congress, is trailing significantly. The RJD is leading in 25 seats, while the Congress party is ahead in just 4 seats, indicating a challenging election for the opposition.
Interestingly, despite the anticipated clear mandate for the NDA, which often signals political stability, Indian stock markets are reacting negatively. As of the latest reports, the benchmark BSE Sensex is down by 375.28 points (0.44%), and the NSE Nifty is trading lower by 109.35 points (0.42%).
Impact Political stability is generally viewed positively by markets, as it reduces policy uncertainty and can foster economic growth. However, in this instance, the market's downward movement suggests that either the outcome was largely priced in, or other macroeconomic factors are currently exerting a stronger influence on investor sentiment. The disconnect warrants close observation to understand the underlying market drivers and potential future trends. Rating: 6/10
Difficult terms: National Democratic Alliance (NDA): A coalition of right-wing and centre-right political parties in India, led by the Bharatiya Janata Party. Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)): A regional political party in India, primarily active in Bihar. Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD): A state political party in Bihar, primarily known for its socialist and secular ideology. Indian National Congress (Congress): A major national political party in India. BSE Sensex: A benchmark index of 30 well-established and financially sound companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange. NSE Nifty: A benchmark index of 50 well-established and financially sound companies listed on the National Stock Exchange.