India Targets Doubling US LPG Imports as Gulf Supply Stays Volatile

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AuthorAnanya Iyer|Published at:
India Targets Doubling US LPG Imports as Gulf Supply Stays Volatile

India is planning to double its annual LPG imports from the United States to reduce energy dependence on the Gulf region. This strategic shift follows recent supply disruptions in the Middle East, with US imports already surging 145% since February. The move supports India's new goal of building a 30-day strategic LPG reserve to ensure consistent domestic fuel availability.

India is aggressively diversifying its energy import routes, aiming to double the volume of Liquified Petroleum Gas (LPG) sourced from the United States. This move is a direct response to rising uncertainty in Middle Eastern supply chains, which have faced significant bottlenecks following regional conflicts and periodic tensions near the Strait of Hormuz since early 2026.

Scaling Up US LPG Imports

Currently, Indian oil marketing companies import approximately 2.2 million tonnes of LPG annually from the United States. Under the planned expansion, this figure could rise significantly. A one-year agreement established in November 2025 already accounts for nearly 10% of the country’s total annual requirements for the current contract year. By expanding these volumes, India seeks to offset the risks associated with its historical reliance on traditional suppliers such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar.

Data from analytics firm Kpler highlights the speed of this transition. While the US provided less than 8% of India's imported LPG in 2025, that share climbed to 37% by March 2026 and reached approximately 65% by June. This sharp increase contrasts with the cooling of import volumes from Gulf nations during the same period.

Strategic Reserves and Operational Costs

Beyond immediate supply needs, the Petroleum Ministry has mandated that oil marketing companies establish a 30-day strategic reserve of LPG. This new buffer is intended to sit atop the existing 45-day rolling inventory. While this initiative strengthens national energy security, it also introduces logistical complexities. Shipping LPG from the US involves significantly longer transit times compared to routes from the Middle East, which translates into higher freight costs and longer working capital cycles for importers.

Investor Monitorables

For investors and market observers, the impact of this shift will be visible in the financial health of public sector oil marketing companies. The key factor to track is how these companies manage the increased procurement costs associated with long-haul shipments from the US. Profit margins for these firms are often influenced by global commodity price volatility and the government's approach to retail pricing. If higher import costs cannot be fully passed on to consumers, it could place pressure on their earnings. Furthermore, the pace at which companies can build the mandated 30-day strategic reserve will be an important update for understanding their future capital allocation and inventory management strategies.

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