Metro Brands Target Price Cut by ICICI Securities Despite Strong Q4

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AuthorKavya Nair|Published at:
Metro Brands Target Price Cut by ICICI Securities Despite Strong Q4
Overview

ICICI Securities has lowered its target price for Metro Brands to ₹1,100 from ₹1,150, while keeping an 'Add' rating. The brokerage highlighted strong company execution, premium product trends, and healthy profits for its positive medium-term view. However, mixed near-term demand, scaling new brands, regulatory issues, and valuation are key factors to watch.

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Strong Q4 Driven by Premiumization

Metro Brands showed robust execution in its fourth quarter, performing well despite general trends in discretionary spending. The company's focus on premium products, careful store expansion, and a strong brand mix led to solid profits, positioning it well in the organized footwear market. While EBITDA margins slightly decreased to 31% in Q4 FY26, revenue grew 19% year-on-year to ₹750 crore, and net profit increased 17% to ₹114 crore. For the full fiscal year 2026, Metro Brands reported ₹2,864 crore in revenue, up 14.2%, and ₹416 crore in net profit, a 17.3% increase. This success is supported by the growing consumer preference for branded, quality footwear in India, particularly in the non-athletic fashion and lifestyle segments.

New Brands Grow Amidst Challenges

New growth areas like Fila, Foot Locker, and MetroActiv are beginning to expand, helping to diversify Metro Brands' income. However, the company faces challenges such as potential supply delays due to Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) regulations affecting some international brands, and the need to carefully manage higher working capital. The Foot Locker partnership, for example, has encountered BIS-related issues, although the company expects things to improve by Q2 FY27. Despite these hurdles, Metro Brands added a net of 124 stores in FY26, reaching a total of 1,032 locations. Online sales also contributed significantly, making up 12.9% of revenue in FY26.

Competitive Landscape and Market Trends

The Indian footwear market, expected to reach USD 12.58 billion by 2032, sees a strong preference for organized retail, with offline channels dominating 85% of the market share. Metro Brands, trading at a P/E ratio of around 73.16x as of May 20, 2026, is valued higher than competitors like Relaxo Footwears Ltd. (P/E ~40.1x) and Bata India Ltd. (P/E ~48.2x). This valuation reflects investor confidence in its growth potential, fueled by its focus on premium segments and key brand partnerships. The athleisure and sports footwear market, growing at a 13% CAGR, is a significant opportunity that Metro Brands is tapping into through exclusive deals with Fila and Foot Locker. Owning its retail stores gives Metro Brands an edge, allowing for better pricing and margins compared to competitors relying on multi-brand stores or wholesale.

Valuation and Regulatory Concerns

Metro Brands' high P/E ratio of about 73.16x, significantly above peers like Relaxo (40.1x) and Bata India (48.2x), leaves little room for missteps, especially in an uncertain economy. While the company has performed well, high working capital and potential supply chain issues from new regulations like BIS standards present near-term risks. Manufacturing reliance on third-party vendors is also a risk, though managed through established relationships. The stock has seen a notable decline from October 2025 to April 2026, partly due to demand normalization and regulatory impacts on partnerships. Management, however, believes these issues will be temporary.

Outlook Remains Positive

ICICI Securities has maintained its 'Add' rating, anticipating a positive medium-term outlook. This view is supported by steady growth in omni-channel sales, disciplined spending, and stable profit margins. Metro Brands plans further store expansion and continues its focus on premium and athleisure products, aiming for sustained double-digit growth. The company has projected a medium to long-term revenue CAGR of over 15%.

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