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India's Digital Lending Surges Amid Risks, Green Finance Faces Hurdles

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AuthorAarav Shah|Published at:
India's Digital Lending Surges Amid Risks, Green Finance Faces Hurdles
Overview

India's digital lending sector hit over 11 crore loans valued at ₹2.9 lakh crore, thanks to digital tools. But, small loans show rising defaults, hitting six-quarter highs in 2025. Green finance, like EV and solar loans, is gaining interest but faces high costs and low awareness. Regulators are watching both closely. Mufin Green Finance trades at a high P/E of 71.70-110.44.

India's Digital Lending Boom Continues

India's digital lending sector continues to grow rapidly, expanding credit access. Total digital loan disbursals have now passed 11 crore, worth around ₹2.9 lakh crore. This growth is powered by India's strong digital infrastructure, such as Aadhaar eKYC, widespread UPI adoption, and increased smartphone use, which lower costs for setting up and assessing loans. Lenders are using alternative data to offer credit to first-time borrowers and those often overlooked, with new users making up 58% of digital loan customers. Fintech transactions in lending, payments, and neobanking are estimated at ₹68 trillion. Digital NBFCs alone approved ₹1.53 lakh crore in personal loans in Q3 FY25-26, a 53% jump year-on-year, while 90-day overdue loans dropped to 1.9%.

Risks in Small-Ticket Digital Loans

However, this expansion comes with risks. Defaults on small digital loans, especially those under ₹10,000, remain high. In June 2025, fintech loans overdue by 90-180 days were 4.8%, and over 180 days were 8.6%. Customers borrowing repeatedly or rolling over loans also add to early signs of stress. Digital lenders' average loan amounts (around ₹15,493) are much lower than traditional banks. This focus on smaller loans could mean higher risk, even with better overall loan quality figures. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is also increasing oversight. Its Digital Lending Guidelines from 2025 require more transparency, direct loan disbursals to borrower accounts, and standard Key Fact Statements (KFS).

Green Finance: Growing Interest, Practical Hurdles

Consumer interest in green finance, including loans for electric vehicles (EVs) and solar power, is growing. This is driven by increased awareness of sustainability and the expansion of electric mobility and renewable energy. EV sales in India topped 1.97 million units in FY25, up nearly 17% year-on-year, boosting demand for related financing. Interest in green home loans and solar rooftop financing also shows a greater focus on sustainability in financial plans. However, adopting green finance faces hurdles. Consumers often deal with higher initial costs for green products, lack of information on special financing, and unpredictable income, making budgeting difficult. Many still opt for regular personal loans, which may not suit long-term goals or repayment abilities.

Green Finance Ecosystem Challenges

India's wider green finance system has potential but is limited by issues like inconsistent regulations, a new market for green financial products, and low investor awareness. High initial capital costs for sustainable projects also play a role. Worries about "greenwashing" (misleading environmental claims) and the absence of standard metrics further discourage investors. Government support and growing private sector involvement are key to channeling funds into India's low-carbon economy.

Mufin Green Finance: Valuation Amidst Trends

Mufin Green Finance operates in these active sectors and shows a mixed financial profile. In early April 2026, its market value was about ₹1,780 crore. The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is high, between approximately 71.70 and 110.44. This is much higher than peers like Bajaj Finserv (15.58) and IIFL Finance (14.48), suggesting investors expect strong future growth. Mufin Green Finance's earnings grew by 3.6% over the past year, which trailed the broader financial industry's 13.4%. New regulations will significantly impact both digital lending and green finance. For digital lenders, the RBI's combined guidelines from 2025 and updates in early 2026, like allowing Default Loss Guarantees (DLG) for NBFCs, aim to balance loan growth with consumer protection and risk management. However, meeting compliance rules remains a big task, with more oversight expected in 2026. For green finance, while government policy is important, fixing market infrastructure issues and improving investor knowledge are crucial for growth.

Outlook for India's Fintech

India's fintech market is expected to keep growing, with valuations possibly reaching hundreds of billions by 2030. This growth will be driven by digital public infrastructure and financial inclusion efforts. Digital lending is likely to expand, even as it adapts to regulatory changes and manages risks. It may also move towards larger loan sizes and more secured products. Green finance, backed by government policy and a global focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), faces steady growth. This will depend on overcoming market obstacles and building investor trust. Companies like Mufin Green Finance must balance rapid growth with careful risk management and adapt to changing rules to keep investor support.

Disclaimer:This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Readers should consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making decisions. Investments are subject to market risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. The publisher and authors are not liable for any losses. Accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed, and views expressed may not reflect the publication’s editorial stance.