Jefferies' Wood Pivots: India Sales Fund Mining & Asian Tech Bets

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AuthorKavya Nair|Published at:
Jefferies' Wood Pivots: India Sales Fund Mining & Asian Tech Bets
Overview

Jefferies' Chris Wood has made significant shifts in his GREED & fear long-only portfolios. ICICI Bank, DLF, and MakeMyTrip have been divested, replaced by mining giants Anglo American and Zijin Mining, alongside Samsung Life Insurance and Eternal (Zomato parent). This strategic reallocation suggests a turn from Indian financials and real estate towards global commodities and Asian growth narratives, particularly notable given the recent sharp correction in Zomato's parent company. The moves reflect a nuanced view on inflation, industrial demand, and digital sector valuations.

The Core Catalyst: Strategic Reallocation and Market Reaction

Chris Wood of Jefferies has orchestrated a notable rebalancing across his GREED & fear investment portfolios, marked by a clear divestment from established Indian financial and real estate sectors. The sale of ICICI Bank, which had been trading near its 52-week high of ₹1,500, suggests a profit-taking strategy or a broader view on the sector's near-term prospects. Similarly, DLF, down approximately 15% over the past twelve months, has been fully exited, while GMR Airports saw its weighting trimmed. These capital redeployments signal a strategic pivot. Concurrent with these sales, Wood has initiated positions in global mining powerhouse Anglo American and China's Zijin Mining, alongside Asian tech-centric plays like Samsung Life Insurance and Eternal, the parent entity of Zomato and Blinkit. The immediate market response on February 3, 2026, saw the broader Indian market (Sensex) decline by 2.79%, with ICICI Bank itself experiencing a day change of +3.02% to ₹1,416 amidst high volatility. This volatility also characterized Eternal's (Zomato) performance, which has seen a significant decline of over 30% from its record high of ₹368, despite its inclusion in Wood's portfolio [cite: original prompt].

The Analytical Deep Dive: Valuations, Trends, and Contrarian Plays

This portfolio adjustment indicates a calculated shift in investment philosophy. ICICI Bank, trading at a P/E of 18.8 and a market cap of nearly ₹9.94 lakh crore, faces competition from peers like HDFC Bank (P/E 19.23) and Axis Bank (P/E 15.93). While analysts maintain a consensus target suggesting a 20.32% upside for ICICI Bank, its Mojo Score was recently downgraded to 'Sell', potentially influencing Wood's decision. The move into mining stocks like Anglo American, which saw an analyst upgrade to 'Buy' from Citigroup with a target of GBX 4,500, and Zijin Mining, aligns with a potential bullish outlook on industrial metals and global commodity demand. This is despite forecasts projecting a general decline in commodity prices by 7% in 2026 due to weak global growth, though industrial metals and precious metals saw gains in December, and copper is anticipated to enter a supply deficit in 2026. The investment in Eternal (Zomato), valued at ₹26,317 crore with a P/E ratio in excess of 100, represents a contrarian play. Despite its stock decline, Wood is betting on the broader Asian food delivery and quick commerce market, which saw an 18% GMV growth in 2025 reaching $22.7 billion. Samsung Life Insurance, with a P/E of around 10.9 and a 'Buy' rating from analysts, offers exposure to the stable Asian financial sector.

The Future Outlook: Analyst Consensus and Sector Dynamics

Analyst sentiment for Anglo American is mixed but leaning positive, with a moderate buy consensus and a median price target of GBX 3,338.57p, though Citigroup's upgrade provides a more aggressive outlook. For Zomato, current analyst sentiment is positive with 4 buy ratings and no sell ratings this month, though specific price targets are not readily available. MakeMyTrip, from which Wood divested, has seen its market cap decrease by 48.89% over the past year and faces a P/E of 122.6, significantly higher than its industry average. This strategic rebalancing by Jefferies highlights a potential rotation away from mature Indian growth stories towards sectors perceived to have stronger structural tailwinds or recovery potential, such as commodities and select Asian technology segments.

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