This reduction comes amid intense pressure from Washington to curtail Russia's oil revenues, a key financial pillar supporting its invasion of Ukraine. The United States is now actively monitoring India's energy purchases, with a clear stipulation that a resumption of direct or indirect importing of Russian Federation oil could trigger retaliatory action. The potential reimposition of a 25% additional tariff on Indian goods, previously levied by the Donald Trump administration, now looms large.
Trade Pact Under Scrutiny
The recent interim trade agreement, aimed at reducing tariffs on Indian exports to the US, is now at risk. This pact was reportedly enabled by India's compliance in scaling down its oil imports from Russia. According to vessel-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg, Russian crude deliveries to India slipped to approximately 1.12 million barrels a day in January 2026, down from 1.2 million in December and marking the lowest level since November 2022.
India's Energy Strategy
New Delhi has consistently maintained its strategic interest in diversifying energy sources to ensure supply security for its 1.4 billion population. India's Ministry of External Affairs reiterated on February 5, 2026, that the nation remains open to exploring commercial merits of new crude supply options, including from Venezuela. This pursuit of energy diversification is a core element of India's broader economic and national security strategy.
White House Stance
A White House statement clarified the US monitoring mechanism. Should the Secretary of Commerce find that India has resumed direct or indirect importing of Russian Federation oil, the Secretary of State, in consultation with several key officials including the Treasury Secretary and the US Trade Representative, would recommend further actions. These recommendations could include the reimposition of the 25 percent ad valorem duty on imports from India, a move that would significantly disrupt bilateral trade flows and potentially impact sectors reliant on the US market.